Webinar - The Analytics of COVID-19
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Webinar - The Analytics of COVID-19

When: Tuesday, March 24, 2020
12:00 PM Eastern
Where: United States
Contact: Michelle Winter

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The Analytics of COVID-19

The reaction to the new coronavirus/COVID-19 pandemic is a classic example of Prospect Theory. Humans are predictably irrational in when facing uncertain prospects. In particular we don’t like the risk of loss.

This discussion focuses on what we can know, and what we might expect. In addition, information from a new national poll of the American public, their reactions, their fears, and how different segments of the public are reacting will be discussed.

  • Humans are predictably irrational and the COVID-19 epidemic brings out those tendencies 
  • Prospect Theory suggests when we focus on potential losses, we will miss opportunities
  • We can actually make some well educated assessments, but the math of epidemics is tricky and most commentators don't grasp how even simple contagion calculations are done. 
  • Understanding the basic math model can help us lower our health risks and improve our business positioning
  • The American public reaction is not monolithic. Different segments are responding differently and the dividing lines are not political. Political pundits who frame everything along party lines in an election year miss the important demographic forces at work



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Steve Roemerman, Chairman & CEO, Lone Star Analysis
Steven Roemerman is Chairman and CEO of Lone Star Analysis. The firm serves clients in defense, aerospace, manufacturing, transportation, and energy sectors.

He began his professional career at Texas Instruments. He did analytics of semiconductor design, as chips became too complex for humans to design. His TI experience included the first 16-Bit microprocessor, early Air Force Artificial Intelligence, early mobile phones, geophysical exploration, and the F-117. 

Among his honors are the NDIA’s Small Business Executive award, and Aviation Week’s Laurels award. He holds dozens of patents, awarded and pending. He leads an international effort to improve the state and application of analytics in modern society.

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